Let’s try to consider the work inside the bookmaker on the basis of a specific example.
So analysts bookmaker (bookie) – whether they like it or not, but must every day to offer a list of quotations to the sport events, which is called the “line”. Analysts are betting kontorDlya beginning they have to find out the real balance of forces in any given match, that is, to determine the probability of the outcome of the events of the match. They use their statistical and analytical information and on the basis of its output the so-called “Fair Odds” – “fair chance”. Naturally, in different offices can be his vision of the outcome of the match and the chance of one or the other team to win.
This is about how the differences in the services of a poll – who will win the election? One service will provide 25.4% Ivanov, Petrov, 17.3%, 10.8% Sidorov. Other – 26.8%, 19% and 7.98% respectively. They have their own methods and their error in determining the results. And the elections – the truth that will show who will win. Very well-developed social services. Service will take into account in the analysis of a bunch of factors, up to the administrative resource, add 2-3% to the falsification better segments the electorate, will interview more people, and so on – I think you understand what I’m saying.
Approximately the same situation and bookmaking in general.
For example, in a match “Chelsea – Newcastle” a bookie said that the chances of a percentage are as follows: 50% – 30% – 20%. That is 50% of that Chelsea will win 30% of that will be a draw, and 20% that Newcastle will win. According to the European system of representation chance (at decimal odds) line to this event will form a
2.00 – 3.33 – 5.00
This is done simply by dividing the percentage of units to command chance (probability of the event outcome).
But then the bookmaker will receive nothing if the player will put on such lines. So he enters the margin (the percentage of profits bookmaker) – profitmargin. For example, the margin we let it be 15%. That is, the player will have to be 10% smarter (at least) than the bookmaker to win. The alignment of forces on margin in percentage terms will be as follows: 57.5% – 34.5% – 23% = 115%. Or in a European format – is this:
1.74 – 2.90 – 4.35
Such a line, and he will give the player. Begin betting – betting. For example, in the amount of people to put down as follows: $ 6000 – $ 3000 – $ 1000. This is due to “love” people to the favorites. In other words – the people decide that the probabilities of events in the game are equal to 60% – 30% – 10%. This public opinion, backed by cash.
What answer bookie? What are the risks it carries?
If Chelsea win, the bookmaker will have to pay players $ 6000 * 0.74 = $ 4440, and he will receive $ 3,000 to players + $ 1,000 = $ 4,000, and the total loss will be $ -440. If there is a draw, the bookmaker will have to fork over $ 1.90 * 3000 = $ 5700, and he will receive $ 6,000 to players + $ 1,000 = $ 7,000, and the total loss will be $ -1300. If Newcastle win, the bookmaker will pay $ 1000 * 3.35 = $ 3350, and receive $ 9,000 from the players. Thus, the profit of which he will receive, will be $ 5650.
Now you understand why when a case of “extraordinary” events (events with a probability of 20% or less) – the bookies coming holiday (although they have every day – a holiday due to the popularity of the players, “banker”, “concrete”, ” Dogons “expresses and so on).
Live Plugs in different offices – it is a reality, or is there better not to go?
The different offices in Live fork certainly better not to go, as the reception rate may be suspended at any time and can burn large. Subject forks in Live Betting is very common, especially in tennis. For example, the match began with coefficients of 1.6 – 2.2. If we put on the second tennis player at the beginning of the match (although it can be during the match), under certain circumstances, the coefficients can be directly opposite, that is 2.2 – 1.6. Thus, we already have the plug in the amount of 10%, and this during the match, you can not rotate once.
Unjustified refund for Live Betting. Often there is and what is to be done?
The first action is not frequent, and secondly, if the office is a solid, then it will not be for nothing raise the noise, on the other hand, for example, is not a secret, what marathon often makes mistakes when accepting bets. For example, the match is already over, but rates are still accepted, even if the coefficient of 1.01. Often confuse and handicap instead -4 give 4 for the player, whose full advantage. That is, if we talk about tennis matches. In the NBA and NHL were also seen missteps. However, in this case, we do not run and do not call bookmakers. Here you are, say, a mistake, take the wrong prize 🙂
Are the game strategies (such as, for example, the Dogon) in the Live Betting?
About Dogon … He, in my opinion, can be used everywhere. For example, in football during the meeting, you can catch totals for more or less. Moreover, Doing whatever rate should always be not only financial, but also a strategy game.
Summing up all that is written, we can derive a few major points:
1). Before you make a bet it is necessary to weigh, feel the game.
2). It is advisable to start the match to collect the necessary information if you do not have time to gather the information, then you can buy the information from the people who are professionally taken her all day.
3). It should be independent of the bookmaker source for information, a report on the current match.
4). Develop a clear strategy of the game and put a well-defined amount of the pot, dedicated to the game.
5). Do not play in any case low rates, since the long game, they will lead you in the negative. What do you think is better to risk $ 100 for 30 rubles win or for additional $ 100? There is no doubt better than the second option.
6). If you are new to this business, you do not try to win it a lot, because success comes only with experience. Try to learn to play with small amounts (or on paper), but it is best to seek help from a professional who will comment on the game situation and assist you in dealing with bookmakers.
How to keep a cool head during the Live Betting?
Here, of course, plays a factor experience, skills of the player. Most importantly – do not rush to see the high ratio for a particular team. Another important rule: it is necessary to use at least two independent sources of information. Ideal – watching the match, say football, on TV.
What sport best suited to profit from Live?
The answer to this question is not found in nature. Each person has their own preferences for different sports, such as I well versed in the NBA, it seems this sport the most profitable for me, someone very well versed in tennis and tennis matches played only in Live. It makes sense to repeat the previously given us advice: try not to be competent in all at once – it is impossible. Be aware of one thing, but then the degree of your awareness should really be on the ball, because you run the risk of their honestly earned money. And even better to be friendly and have a lot of friends, each of whom in some knowledgeable.
What are the best office on Live in RuNet and in the world?
In Russia, the largest selection of online betting offers BC Marathon, they have no competitors. Marathon gives you almost all kinds of sports for Live, you can also use for online betting BC Paris Match and Betsiti but their selection is sometimes limited. The first foreign branch can recommend Bwin with a very wide selection of betting, BetFair, Bet365, William Hil.
In general, the criteria for selecting office for Live Betting should serve the following factors: the speed upgrade payline, a wide variety of events, and of the bad kotirovschiki 🙂
Some practical systems when playing on Live Betting.
When online game you have to work out for themselves a clear strategy of the game. We often hear that the majority of players often lose bookmakers in this duel. Firstly, it is necessary to determine for themselves the pot, that is, the size of the amount of betting online. Putting well-defined percentage of the start of this bank. In no case do not play all-in, even if you think that everything is decided in this match. Often in football scoring in the dying seconds, or tennis, losing with a score of 1: 5 in the set, adjust and win the match, or it may be some unexpected injury favorite, and the refusal, and this is a big loss for you. There still is a psychological factor, it is necessary to adjust themselves and to allocate the same amount you are willing to lose, and can easily survive the loss.
Popular mistakes beginners games.
The most popular mistake – this haste … and naive thinking. Real Madrid is a superkomanda and she can not lose some outsider there, right? No not like this. He plays regularly with. Often when an outsider does not give the slightest chance. Another example. Let’s say in tennis, a very common mistake to think that if a player took the first set, then he will win the entire match. Bids live in BC SportingbetSoglasen often this happens, but why ship it, and several times, immediately after he won the set? We must also look at the statistics innings, errors, and other factors. After all, often enough after winning a set, is given to the second, and then the whole match. Or, suppose ratio was 1.3 after the first set and the second after losing it is already in the region of 1.8. If you look at a football match, for example, through the meeting of 1: 1. The match goes, the two teams of the same level, but on a single command given coefficient 1.5, the second team of the coefficient of 2.25, almost equal chances, so why play a factor, which is lower. Well, the most common mistake when playing online – it’s ignorance. You can not trust the bank, which is listed on the online bookmaker. I have already said that we need to use multiple sources of information, because sometimes you see these absurd rates, and it turns out that one of the teams have removed the player and is fine (in hockey) has gone, and, accordingly, not possessing this information, seeing no match You can make a bunch of mistakes.